How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?

$20.9K Total volumeEnds Mar 1, 2027Live

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

Price History
450k to 475k28%
475k to 500k20%
400k to 425k17%
550k to 575k16%
Live reference data

Polymarket RTDS source prices for this market family.

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Tesla
TSLAPyth
Equity
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Waiting for the next RTDS tick
Outcomes
$171 Volume$1.4K Liquidity▲4%
$91 Volume$1.9K Liquidity▲1%
$670 Liquidity▲5%
$658 Liquidity▲10%
$0 Volume$818 Liquidity
$38 Volume$545 Liquidity▼9%
$505 Liquidity▼0%
$537 Liquidity
$1.4K Liquidity▼0%

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

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Market Stats
Open Interest$5.3K
24h Volume$171
Liquidity$1.4K
Spread1.0%